2018 NCAA Tournament Bubble Teams and Free Picks

Selection Sunday for the 2018 NCAA Tournament is right around the corner. Before we get to the conference tournaments and automatic bids we like to go through the major conferences and check out all our bubble teams to see who they’re playing and how the pressure of the tournament will affect any betting angles. The pressure of getting closer to that all important tournament bid can either galvanize a team or they get crushed under it. Long story short is there is definitely money to be made the last couple weeks of the regular season.

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ACC

Syracuse – 18-9 (11-14 ATS)

Last 5 (3-2 SU, 3-2 ATS)

This Week’s Games and Lines (If Released)

February 21st – North Carolina (UNC -5.5) If Syracuse can play and shoot like they have in the last 4 games including wins over Miami on the road and home against Louisville They may be able to pull off the upset with their crowd sure to be in a frenzy. In this game, we’re leaning to taking the points and Syracuse.

February 24th – @Duke. Syracuse will have trouble in this one on the road. They don’t shoot well enough to hang with Duke’s firepower.

 Louisville 18-9 (14-11 ATS)

Last 5 (2-3 SU, 2-3 ATS)

This Week’s Games and Lines (If Released)

February 21st – @Duke (Duke -12) This line is an overreaction to Louisville getting trounced at home Saturday To Carolina. We don’t like Louisville to win this game but LOVE for them to cover.

February 24th – @Virginia Tech. This game becomes a virtual must-win for Louisville if they lose to Duke. Louisville one the earlier game by 8 at home.

 Miami 19-8 (11-14 ATS)

Last 5 (2-3 SU, 1-4 ATS)

This Week’s Games and Lines (If Released)

February 24th – Boston College. After losing 3 straight games Miami got their first must win of the week beating Notre Dame Monday Night. This game will be another must win. After Boston College beat Miami 72-70 in Boston on Feb 10th Miami should be favored by just a few points here. We like them to win and get the cover if that’s the case.

Big 12

Baylor 17-10 (15-7 ATS)

Last 5 (5-0 SU, 5-0 ATS)

This Week’s Games and Lines (If Released)

February 21st – West Virginia (Pick Em) Baylor went on an impressive 5 game run to put them back on the bubble but this week is going to be tough to navigate. With West Virginia’s struggles on the road and how well Baylor is playing we like Baylor to win at home.

February 24th – @TCU. This game is going to be tough for Baylor on the road with how many points TCU scores at home. This is where their winning streak should end.

 TCU 18-9 (14-13 ATS)

Last 5 (3-2 SU, 3-2 ATS)

This Week’s Games and Lines (If Released)

February 21st – @Iowa St (TCU -4.5) With TCU’s 2-6 road record this game is going to be tough for TCU. Our lean is on Iowa St to win this one and make the TCU and Baylor game that much more important.

February 24th – Baylor. Baylor is hot and if they can beat West Virginia will be on a 6 game win streak. We still like TCU to win this one at home at home where they score in bunches.

 Texas 16-11 (14-11 ATS)

Last 5 (2-3 SU, 2-3 ATS)

This Week’s Games and Lines (If Released)

February 21st – @Kansas St (KSU -4) If Texas could play Oklahoma every game they’d get a berth easy. They’ve beaten the Sooners twice in the last 3 weeks which is the only team they’ve beaten since Jan 27th. We like KSU at home to win and cover.

February 24th – Oklahoma St. We aren’t believers in Texas at all. They will lose this game as well and watch their bubble burst.

Oklahoma 16-11 (9-18 ATS)

Last 5 (0-5 SU, 0-5 ATS)

This Week’s Games and Lines (If Released)

February 24th – Kansas St. After getting trounced by Kansas on Monday night Oklahoma is just about done. Teams have realized if you take away Trae Young the rest of the team will fold. Take Kansas St to win and cover in this one.

Big East

Seton Hall 18-9 (11-16 ATS)

Last 5 (1-4 SU, 0-5 ATS)

This Week’s Games and Lines (If Released)

February 21st – @Providence (Providence -1.5) This is a must-win for both teams. The wheels have fallen off of Seton Hall’s season and with how well Providence has played at home the last 6 weeks they’ll get the win and cover.

February 24th – @St Johns. Unfortunately for Seton Hall, St Johns is playing as well as anyone and the Big East. Seton Hall will have to fight to get the win here and we like St John’s to get the cover.

Providence 17-10 (9-17 ATS)

Last 5 (3-2 SU, 3-2 ATS)

This Week’s Games and Lines (If Released)

February 21st – Seton Hall (Providence -1.5)  This is a must-win for both teams. The wheels have fallen off of Seton Hall’s season and with how well Providence has played at home the last 6 weeks they’ll get the win and cover.

February 24th -@Georgetown This will be a coin flip game as these two teams are pretty similar and Georgetown is home. Early Lean is Providence takes this game.

Big Ten

 

Maryland 19-11 (16-10 ATS)

Last 5 (3-2 SU, 3-2 ATS)

This Week’s Games and Lines (If Released)

February 24th – Michigan. Maryland scored a huge win on Monday night against Northwestern and this game is equally big. Early lean on this one is Michigan as they are a very good road team and are a matchup problem for Maryland.

Pac 12

 Arizona St 19-7 (12-11-3 ATS)

Last 5 (3-2 SU, 2-3 ATS)

This Week’s Games and Lines (If Released)

February 22st – @Oregon This is a huge game for both teams. Arizona St is maddeningly inconsistent despite having a ton of talent. The early lean is definitely with Oregon who has won 4 straight at home.

February 24th – @Oregon St Arizona St should cruise in this game.

Oregon 17-10 (13-13 ATS)

Last 5 (3-2 SU, 3-2 ATS)

This Week’s Games and Lines (If Released)

February 22st – Arizona St. This is a huge game for both teams. Arizona St is maddeningly inconsistent despite having a ton of talent. The early lean is definitely with Oregon who has won 4 straight at home.

February 24th – Arizona. This is going to be a tough game 2 days after playing ASU, especially since Arizona should have an easy game against Oregon St. Arizona should take this one in a close game.

SEC

Miss St 19-8 (11-11 ATS)

Last 5 (3-2 SU, 3-2 ATS)

This Week’s Games and Lines (If Released)

February 24th – South Carolina. Miss St should win this must game at home and get the cover with a small spread.

Kentucky 18-9 (11-16 ATS)

Last 5 (3-2 SU, 3-2 ATS)

This Week’s Games and Lines (If Released)

February 24th – Missouri. Kentucky should get the win and cover in this home game they will absolutely need for any chance to snag an at-large bid.

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