3/16 First Four Free Pick

3/16 First Four Free Pick

Southern A&M Jaguars (-2.5) vs Holy Cross Crusaders (129.5) Dayton, Ohio

The Southern A&M Jaguars and the Holy Cross Crusaders might be the two worst teams in the tournament. Every conference tournament automatic qualifier comes into the tournament on at least a 3 game winning streak so that’s a good thing for Holy Cross. Besides that their season was just AWFUL! Before sweeping 4 games in the Patriot league tournament, Holy Cross lost 8 of their last 10 games losing by double digits in 5. For the whole season they lost by double digits 12 times. Southern wasn’t as bad this year but they still finished 4th in the Southwestern conference losing 5 of their last 8 regular season games before winning their conference tournament. The winner of the game earns the right to get smoked by Oregon Friday Night.

Calling Holy Cross a bad offensive team is an understatement. They averaged 65 points per game during the regular season, good for 325th. They don’t have a player that averages more than 12 points a game and they shoot 32% from 3. Since Jan 1st they’ve only managed to break the 70 point barrier 5 times in 21 games, although 2 70 point games came in their last 4.. Their only real offensive threat Malachi Alexander heated up from 3 during the conference tournament leading the team to a miracle berth. If they have any chance to not be one done he has to continue to hit 3’s and have the game of his life. It’s a good thing for Holy Cross Southern isn’t a very good defensive team. Southern on the other hand averaged 73 points on the season routinely scoring in the 70’s and 80’s down the stretch. They are very undersized and get out rebounded on a nightly basis. They only have one starter over 6-4. What they lack in size they make up in quickness playing basically 4 guards who all can get to the basket, led by Adrian Rodgers who has the ability to drop 30 on Holy Cross. We look for Southern to push the pace and try and make this into a track meet. Both teams give up an average of 69 points a game (Southern 69 pts good for 105th and Holy Cross 69.7 good for 120th) Holy Cross will get some easy baskets crashing the offensive boards. We love the OVER in this game with the teams hitting the 70 mark. The Pick OVER 129.5