POWER 5 BUBBLE TEAMS LOOK TO CASH NCAA TICKETS

        It was a crazy weekend of college basketball games. Some teams helped their case for an NCAA tournament bid, while some are watching it slip away. With one week left before the major conference tournaments get underway lets look at the teams in the power 5 conferences who have work to do and what it means for bettors.

 ACC

NC State: Remaining games– March 3 @Clemson, March 7 Syracuse

After winning 3 straight against Louisville, Virginia Tech and North Carolina The Wolfpack suffered a terrible loss to bottom feeder Boston College 79-63 leaving them 17-12, 8-8 ACC and putting them back on the bubble.

Quality wins: Duke, Louisville, North Carolina

Bad losses: Wofford, Wake Forest, Boston College

Betting angle: Clemson and Syracuse will be tough games for the Wolfpack. They lost at home to Clemson 68-57 Jan 28th as 8pt favorites and with a self imposed postseason ban The Orange will play with extra motivation to end the season on a high note.

Pitt: Remaining games– March 4th Miami, March 7 @Florida St

After winning 6 of their last 8 games Pitt looked poised to sweep the last 3 and get in the tourney. Those chances took a huge hit Sunday when they blew a late lead against 13-16 Wake Forest.

Quality wins: Notre Dame, North Carolina

Bad losses: Hawaii, Virginia Tech, Wake Forest

Betting angle: Wednesday is a virtual elimination game against fellow bubble team Miami. At home Pitt is 6-2 SU 4-4 ATS. They beat and covered as 6.5 point favorites against FSU Jan 14th. FSU has cashed 7 straight times as dogs in ACC play until a 22pt loss to Louisville Saturday. Pitt may win but they probably won’t cover more than a couple points.

 

BIG 12

Oklahoma St: Remaining games– March 4th TCU, March 7th @West Virginia

This bubble may have burst over the weekend when they lost their 4th straight game (all as favorites) to last place Texas Tech.

Quality wins: Baylor (twice) Kansas

Bad losses: TCU, Texas Tech, 26 pts to South Carolina

Betting angle: After 4 straight ATS losses expect OSU to keep their hopes alive with a convincing home, revenge win against TCU. After a 10pt home loss Feb 21st to WVU, the rematch will be tough as the Mountaineers are playing great at home.

 

Texas: Remaining games– March 7th Kansas St

Before Monday night Texas was on a 4 game losing streak to NCAA tournament teams (Oklahoma, Iowa ST, WVU, Kansas) They should of won the Oklahoma and Kansas games, either would of helped immensely. They fell behind early against Baylor Monday night but came back to get the must win in OT.

Quality wins: Iowa, WVU, Baylor

Bad losses: All losses are against tourney locks/bubble teams.

Betting angle: They beat K State as 1pt dogs on Feb 7th. K State is playing great of late with home wins vs Kansas and Iowa St though they haven’t played well on road of late. Texas should win and cover a low number there.

BIG 10

Michigan St: Remaining games– March 4th Purdue, March 7th @Indiana

The Spartans were rolling along, winning 6 of 7 before a 2 game losing streak to Minnesota and Wisconsin. At the moment they are in the tournament but they need to stop the bleeding.

Quality wins: Indiana, Iowa, Ohio St

Bad losses: Texas Southern, Nebraska

Betting angle: They have yet to play Purdue this season and having the game at home may not help Spartan backers. They are 2-6 ATS against the Big 10 at home and Purdue is 13-3 ATS in Big 10 play.

 

Iowa: Remaining games– March 3rd @Indiana, March 7th Northwestern

After mid February losses to Minnesota and Northwestern Iowa has righted the ship winning 4 straight and as of now are in the tournament. Winning their last 2 will end any doubt.

Quality wins: North Carolina, Ohio St (twice) Maryland

Bad losses: Minnesota (twice) Northwestern

Betting angle: The game at Indiana is big for both teams. This will be their 1st meeting this season. Expect a slow paced game that should favor Iowa’s considerable height advantage, Iowa is getting 2 points but should win outright. After a bad loss to Northwestern 2 weeks ago Iowa will be focused and should beat them soundly.

 

Indiana: Remaining games– March 3rd Iowa, March 7th Michigan St.

Indiana has traded wins and losses in their last 9 games. Their loss Feb 25th to Northwestern seriously hurt their chances.

Quality wins: Ohio St, Maryland

Bad losses: Eastern Washington, Northeastern

Betting angle: The Hoosiers have yet to play Iowa but lost by 20 to Michigan St Jan 5th. Indiana is just 3-4 ATS at home in Big 10 play. They could be dogs in both remaining games and should lose both.

 

PAC 12

UCLA: Remaining games– March 4th USC

UCLA played a brutal non conference schedule and lost to the likes of Kentucky, North Carolina, Gonzaga and Oklahoma. After opening with losses in their 1st 2 conference games they have gone 10-5. With only 1 game remaining it may take a couple Pac 12 tournament wins to secure a bid.

Quality wins: Oregon, Utah, Stanford (twice)

Bad losses: 32pts to Utah, Arizona St

Betting angle: UCLA loves to run, run and run some more. USC does not. The Bruins beat USC by 17 Jan 14th. UCLA is 8-0 SU and 7-1 ATS at home in Pac 12 play. UCLA will run USC out of the gym, if the spread is under 10 lock it up.

 

Stanford: Remaining games– March 5th @Arizona St, March 7th @Arizona

Stanford lost a heart breaker Sunday at home to Oregon, a win would’ve gone a long way to punching their ticket. Stanford has a 9-7 conference record after only getting 1 meaningful non conference win. They probably will have to beat Arizona on the road in the finale to get in.

Quality wins: Texas, Oregon St.

Bad losses: Depaul, Washington St, Colorado

Betting angle: This is the 2nd time that Stanford plays back to back against Arizona and Arizona St. In January they lost to Arizona and beat State. Unfortunately these 2 games are on the road where The Cardinal have lost their last 3 SU and ATS. They should take care of Arizona St. and lose to Arizona. If you’re a totals bettor the UNDER has cashed in 6 of the last 7.

 

SEC

LSU: Remaining games– March 4th Tennessee , March 7th @Arkansas

LSU is on a 3 game win streak and right now they are in the NCAA tourney. Despite a 21-8 record they have to be careful because of a cupcake non conference schedule that puts their strength of schedule in the 100’s. Lose the last 2 and don’t play well in the SEC tournament and they will be NIT bound.

Quality wins: West Virginia, Georgia, Ole Miss (twice)

Bad Losses: Mississippi St, Auburn, Missouri

Betting angle: LSU went to Tennessee 2 weeks ago and won easily by 18 and should repeat it at home. Arkansas was rolling until a loss to Kentucky on Saturday. LSU has been a good road team and they may shock Arkansas and get a signature win. They have cashed 6 of their last 7 and the total has gone UNDER 4 of their last 5.

 

OLE MISS: Remaining games– March 3 @Alabama, March 7th Vanderbilt

Ole Miss was sitting pretty until 2 straight losses against Georgia and LSU has fans worried. They look good for a bid but are in the danger zone playing 2 teams who are 17-12 and in dire need to win their last 2 games to have a chance. Lose these games and Ole Miss will host an NIT game.

Quality wins: Oregon, Arkansas

Bad losses: Charleston Southern, Western Kentucky

Betting angle: Ole Miss is 6-2 ATS on the road in SEC road games and Alabama is a 2pt favorite despite not faring well at home. Ole Miss has been trending down for a month and they should lose a close one to Bama but take care of Vandy at home.

 

Tuesday’s Free Pick: Maryland (-9) at Rutgers

Maryland is loving the Big 10. They are 21-5 and in the top 10. They need a convincing win here and a good showing in the Big 10 tournament to snag a 3 seed in the tournament. They’ve won their last 5 games including a 59-53 win against Wisconsin last week. Rutgers is on the opposite end of the spectrum. They are firmly in the basement of the big 10 losing 12 straight. They’ve lost their last 5 home games by an average of almost 20 points a game and was thrashed by 30 to middle of the pack Indiana a week ago. The Pick: Maryland’s been playing some close games lately but will open it up against the over matched Scarlet Knights. Take Maryland -9

 

COLLEGE BASKETBALL TOP CAPPERS

 Jesse Schule: Jesse was is on fire going 10-1 last week and hitting 62 percent of his February CBB picks.

 Miguel DaSilva: Miguel pumped out 35 picks last week and hit an astounding 24 games for a win percentage of 68.6.

 Stephen Nover: He only put out 29 picks in the last month but went 21-8 good for 72% cashes. With that percentage we’ll wait patiently for his picks.

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