Free AFC Championship Betting Total

Pittsburgh Steelers vs New England Patriots Sunday 6:40pm

Patriots -5.5, O/U 50

Steelers: 13-5 SU, 11-7 ATS. The Total is 6-12

Patriots: 15-2 SU, 14-3 ATS. The Total is 7-10

The Pittsburgh Steelers travel to Foxboro on Sunday to take on the New England Patriots in the AFC Championship game. The Steelers went into Kansas City and beat the Chiefs in the Divisional round 18-16 covering as a 2 point dog. The total went UNDER 45. The New England Patriots didn’t play well as a 17 point favorite against the Houston Texans and still covered the spread, winning 34-16. The total went OVER 44.5. These two teams squared off in week 7 in Pittsburgh with New England winning 27-16. New England covered the spread and the game went UNDER.

For this RideTheHotHand free pick we are going after that total of 50. If you know the public like we do, they are going to flock to bet the OVER in this one with the big name quarterbacks and the stars on Pittsburgh’s offense, so we think this number is going to go up to 51 at least. That is perfect for our bet. These 2 teams are perceived as OVER teams but both have been cashing UNDER tickets all season long. Pittsburgh has gone UNDER in 12 out of 18 games overall and 8 out of 10 of their road games. The Patriots have gone UNDER the total in 10 of their 17 games. When these 2 teams play Bill Belichek always give the Steelers a very large dose of the Patriot running game to keep Ben and his weapons off the field. He used to employ the same strategy against the Indianapolis Colts when they had Peyton Manning. This year when they played the Steelers, LeGarrette Blount got 24 carries for 127 yards against this same Pittsburgh defense. On the other side Pittsburgh has the best running back in the World so we know he will get tons of carries. Bottom line, both teams are going to run the ball, protect the ball and take few deep shots. We’re are taking the UNDER 50. THE PICK: UNDER 50

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