Super Bowl 51 Handicapper Picks

Super Bowl 51 Handicapper Picks

Click Here To Check Out ALL Handicappers Picks and Packages

Well that went fast. It seemed like just yesterday when we woke up on September 8th and looked forward to a new NFL season. After 266 games and 30 teams and their fan bases have already had their season end only 2 remain. To the chagrin of many the New England Patriots are back for the 7th time in the 16 year marriage of Bill Belichik and Tom Brady. The Atlanta Falcons will be on the other sideline playing in the Super Bowl for the first time since their 34-19 loss to the Denver Broncos 18 years ago. The New England Patriots will be going for their 5th trophy and Atlanta is looking for their first. Lets look at how both teams got here.

New England

Record Straight Up      Against The Spread      Over/Under
16-215-38-10

The New England Patriots started the season 3-1 straight up and ATS while the golden boy served his 4 game suspension for a scandal (perceived or not) that no one wants to talk about anymore. Once Brady came back he was once again lights out, going 13-1 straight up and 12-2 ATS while throwing for over 3,500 yards, 28 TD’s and only 2 interceptions. The Patriots were 9 point dogs in Week 1 at Arizona and won 23-21 straight up. After that game Vegas learned their lesson and the Pats were favored in every game the rest of the year. Their only loss with Brady under center was a 31-24 loss at home to Seattle as 7.5 point favorites. Their only other ATS loss was a 22-17 win against the Jets as 9.5 point favorites.  No team has come within 10 points of them since a 30-23 win against Baltimore at home on December 12th. The Pats averaged 32 points a game during the 14 games Brady was under center. That only led to a 7-7 totals record due to them having the #1 scoring defense in the NFL last season.

DateOpponent Closing Line Total ResultATS
Sep 11 @ Arizona Cardinals 9 44.5 Won 23 – 21 Win / Under
Sep 18Miami Dolphins -642 Won 31 – 24 Win / Over
Sep 22Houston Texans -1 38.5Won 27 – 0 Win / Under
Oct 2 Buffalo Bills -3.5 41 Lost 0 – 16Loss / Under
Oct 9@ Cleveland Browns -10 48 Won 33 – 13Win / Under
Oct 16 Cincinnati Bengals -7.5 48.5 Won 35 – 17 Win / Over
Oct 23 @ Pittsburgh Steelers -7.5 49.5 Won 27 – 16 Win / Under
Oct 30 @ Buffalo Bills -6.5 48.5 Won 41 – 25 Win / Over
Nov 13Seattle Seahawks -7.5 49.5 Lost 24 – 31 Loss / Over
Nov 20 @ San Francisco 49ers -12 51.5Won 30 – 17Win / Under
Nov 27@ New York Jets -9.5 48 Won 22 – 17 Loss / Under
Dec 4 Los Angeles Rams -13.5 44.5 Won 26 – 10 Win / Under
Dec 12 Baltimore Ravens -6 45.5 Won 30 – 23 Win / Over
Dec 18 @ Denver Broncos -3 43.5 Won 16 – 3 Win / Under
Dec 24 New York Jets -17 45 Won 41 – 3Win / Under
Jan 1 @ Miami Dolphins -8 47 Won 35 – 14 Win / Over
Jan 14Houston Texans -16.5 44.5 Won 34 – 16 Win / Over
Jan 22 Pittsburgh Steelers -5.5 49.5 Won 36 – 17Win / Over

 

Atlanta Falcons

Record Straight Up      Against The Spread      Over/Under
13-512-615-2-1

No one thought that the Falcons had any chance to be here after they suffered their 2nd consecutive heart breaking defeat, 33-30 at home to San Diego on October 23rd to drop them to 4-3 on the year. Atlanta started off the season slow losing 31-24 at home to the Bucs. They then rattled off 4 straight up and ATS wins in a row before their 2 game losing streak to Seattle and San Diego. After that game Matt Ryan caught fire leading the Falcons to wins in 9 of their next 11 games, covering in 7 of them. During that time Ryan threw for 22 touchdowns and only 3 picks. Atlanta’s offense had no equal this season. They were the only team that averaged over 30 points a game and scored 71 more points than 2nd place New Orleans. The Falcons scored over 30 points 13 times and over 40 points 5 times.  They only scored under 20 points once this season when they only managed 15 in their 1 really bad game November 13th at Philadelphia. That was also the last time an Atlanta game went UNDER.

Date Opponent Closing Line Total Result ATS
Sep 11 Tampa Bay Buccaneers -2.5 47 Lost 24 – 31 Loss / Over
Sep 18 @ Oakland Raiders 4 47.5 Won 35 – 28 Win / Over
Sep 26 @ New Orleans Saints 3 54.5 Won 45 – 32 Win / Over
Oct 2 Carolina Panthers 3 48.5 Won 48 – 33Win / Over
Oct 9 @ Denver Broncos 444.5 Won 23 – 16 Win / Under
Oct 16 @ Seattle Seahawks 7 45.5 Lost 24 – 26 Win / Over
Oct 23 San Diego Chargers -5 53.5 Lost 30 – 33 Loss / Over
Oct 30 Green Bay Packers -3 51 Won 33 – 32 Loss / Over
Nov 3 @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers -4.5 49.5 Won 43 – 28 Win / Over
Nov 13 @ Philadelphia Eagles 1.5 49 Lost 15 – 24 Loss / Under
Nov 27 Arizona Cardinals -4 49 Won 38 – 19 Win / Over
Dec 4 Kansas City Chiefs -5 50 Lost 28 – 29 Loss / Over
Dec 11 @ Los Angeles Rams -5 44 Won 42 – 14 Win / Over
Dec 18 San Francisco 49ers -1451.5 Won 41 – 13 Win / Over
Dec 24 @ Carolina Panthers -3 49 Won 33 – 16 Win / Push
Jan 1 New Orleans Saints -7.5 58.5 Won 38 – 32 Loss / Over
Jan 14Seattle Seahawks -6.5 51.5 Won 36 – 20 Win / Over
Jan 22 Green Bay Packers -6 61 Won 44 – 21 Win / Over

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