Week 2 Thursday Night NFL Betting Preview

Week 2 Thursday Night NFL Betting Preview

DENVER BRONCOS vs KANSAS CITY CHIEFS (-3)  O/U 42

Denver: 1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS, O/U 0-1.  Kansas City: 1-0 SU, 1-0, O/U 1-0

The Denver Broncos travel to Kansas City in the first divisional Thursday night game of the season. The Broncos won a hard fought opening day game against The Ravens at home 19-13, where neither offense looked particularly sharp. Peyton Manning looked very average but his stat line would of looked a whole lot better if he didn’t overthrow a couple wide open receivers in the end zone. The Chiefs walked into NRG Stadium on opening day and pummeled The Texans in the first half taking a 27-9 halftime lead before allowing 11 garbage time points to make the score look respectable 27-20. This is a great early season indicator if The Broncos are going to run away with this division again or is it going to be a 3 team dog fight.

KEYS FOR DENVER

The Broncos have 4 new starters on the offensive line this season with 2 players making their 1st career start last week. They were beaten up by the Ravens defensive line giving up 4 sacks and rushing for only 69 yards. It’s not getting any easier this week with Tamba Hali, Justin Houston and company on the road in loud Arrowhead Stadium. The Broncos have to be able to run the ball to be successful, gone are the Manning 400 yards and 4 TD games. Ronnie Hillman and CJ Anderson have to go over 100 yards for this team to win on the road against a quality opponent. Obviously Manning will have to play better, look for him to go right after the Chiefs rookie corner Marcus Peters and 2nd year corner Philip Gaines. The Bronco defense played outstanding against the Ravens and have to do it again. Stopping Jamal Charles is every teams priority and this game is no different, make Alex Smith beat you.

KEYS FOR KANSAS CITY

Alex Smith is up to his old tricks again throwing to primarily running backs and tight ends. You would think sooner or later he’ll have to start hitting receivers downfield. Jamal Charles and the running backs had a below average day against the Texans. Playing the Broncos at home the game plan still has to be run the ball and keep Manning off the field and out of rhythm. On Defense the front 7 has to beat the Bronco offensive line all night to win this game. They can’t leave their young secondary in coverage too long because even though he’s lost a couple steps Manning is way better than Brian Hoyer and will eventually make a couple quick strikes that could end the game. The crowd has to be loud and disruptive. The Broncos have a rookie center and a rookie left tackle making their 1st road start. Rattle the young kids and get Manning moving which we know he can’t.

OVERVIEW

This line opened up with the Broncos as 1.5 point favorites and has been bet all the way to Chiefs -3. The betting public is on Kansas City by a slight margin with about 55% of the action coming in on the Chiefs. Bets on the total is overwhelmingly on the OVER with about 70% of the bets. The public is squarely on the Chiefs because how bad Manning looked in the opener and how dominant the Chiefs looked in week 1 with an inept Brian Hoyer. Be careful with that way of thinking.  The chances of the Broncos not scoring an offensive touchdown again are slim to none and playing on Thursday night this early in the season probably benefits Denver to get them back on the field quick after working on what went wrong in game 1. The Bronco defense is the better defense in this game and it’s going to be extremely tough for Alex Smith to move the ball. We’re leaning Broncos +3 in this one.

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