Week 1 NFL Preview (With Free Pick)

Week One NFL Preview (With Free Pick)

IT IS ON!!!!!!! Finally after 7 months without an NFL game it’s time. Opening weekend in the NFL is one of the best weekends of the year. It’s the first of 21 weeks of the best sport on Earth to watch and gamble on. Each week we’re going to run through between 3-5 games and tell you why we think each team can cover the spread. We will also throw in our free picks along with free picks from the best NFL handicappers around. Today We will have a Free Pick from Ricky Tran on the Patriots/Cardinals and the RideTheHotHand free pick is on the Raiders/Saints. So we’ve waited long enough….. Let’s Win Some MONEY!!!!

8:30 PM Game TimeRecordLineBetting Trend
Carolina(0-0) (0-0 A)W-1-1-369%59%44%
Denver(0-0) (0-0 H)L-14441.531%41%56%

Reasons the Panthers will cover

  1. The Panthers averaged 31 points a game last season. That was without their best receiver. Kelvin Benjamin is a beast and the Panthers receiving corps looks much better with Benjamin as the 1 than that pile of crap Cam got away with last year.
  2. Trevor Siemian or Paxton Lynch. The Panthers don’t care. Play them both! The Panthers front 7 is elite and they are foaming at the mouth to play against Siemian. The Broncos won’t have Manning back there reading blitzes. Siemian may get a little overwhelmed here.

Reasons the Broncos will cover

  1. Denver has opened the season at home the last 4 years. Going 4-0 Straight Up and 3-1 ATS. This opening night crowd will be more jacked than usual after watching their 3rd banner raised. They will remind The Panthers players who they won that banner against all night.
  2. The Broncos are returning almost the entire defense that was the best in the NFL last year. In their 10 home games last season (including the postseason) they allowed 20 points or less 9 times. They only allowed over 20 once, a 30-24 win against the Patriots. This Super Bowl D may get Cam to leave his interview early again.

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1:00 PM Game TimeRecordLineBetting Trend
Cincinatti(0-0) (0-0 A)L-2PK-2.575%47%23%
N.Y. Jets(0-0) (0-0 H)L-342.541.525%53%77%

Reasons the Bengals will cover

  1. The Bengals have a top 5 offense and are dangerous everywhere. A healthy Dalton, Jeremy Hill, Giovanni Bernard, A.J. Green and Tyler Eiffert can light up on anyone. Combine them with one of the leagues best offensive lines and it may be too much for the Jets defense.
  2. The Bengals secondary is good. They return most of the unit from last year and drafted Darqueze Dennard in the first round. On the other hand The Jets decided to give in and pay 12 million dollars to a man who is 16-61 in his career when his defense gives up more than 17 points. 16-61!!! The Bengals can’t wait to remind the Jets their QB search isn’t over.

Reasons the Jets will cover

  1. Brandon Marshall and Eric Decker were really good last year. They made everyone believe the Jets were actually good when they weren’t. However, plan on those 2 guys being really good again. Up and comer Quincy Enunwa and a trio of fast, rookie receivers should give the top 2 wideouts even more space.
  2. The Jets Defense is top 10 on paper. They are capable of shutting down any offense in the league. Sheldon Richardson’s 1 game suspension won’t help but 2nd year player Leonard Williams is ready to take off.

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4:25 PM Game TimeRecordLineBetting Trend
N.Y. Giants(0-0) (0-0 A)W-249-167%57%52%
Dallas(0-0) (0-0 H)L-2-44633%43%48%

Reasons the Giants will cover

  1. The fact that Dallas is starting QB Dak Prescott isn’t the only worry for the Cowboys. The defense is a BIG question mark. The Giants offense is by no means great but Odell Beckham, Victor Cruz and Dwayne Harris are a dangerous trio. The Giant receivers should be open all day against an awful Cowboy secondary.
  2. The Cowboys defense have so many questions up front. They should get better as the season moves on but that won’t help them in this game. Rashad Jennings should have room to run.

Reasons the Cowboys will cover

  1. Best offensive line in football and Ezekial Elliot should make the Cowboys running game the best in football. The Giants D looks to be good against the pass but the run… not so much. The Cowboys will look to smack the Giants in the mouth.
  2. The Cowboys play well at home in September and also play well against the Giants in the Dallas where they’ve won the last 3 matchups. It seems like the Giants are only team they have a home field advantage against. Dak Prescott should feel more comfortable in game 1 in front of friendly fans.

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8:30 PM Game TimeRecordLineBetting Trend
New England (0-0) (0-0 A)L-1-14728%83%22%
Arizona(0-0) (0-0 H)W-151-672%17%78%

Reasons the Patriots will cover

  1. Even without Brady this receiving corps is one of the best in the league. Even though Arizona has an elite secondary NO ONE can cover The Gronk. NO ONE.
  2. Belichek is still the best coach in the league and he’s had months to find weaknesses. I’m sure he’s realized that the running game on both sides of the ball will be his key. Pats should be able to run on Arizona and stop their running game on defense.

Reasons the Cardinals will cover

  1. If Tom Brady were playing, the Cardinals are still good enough to beat the Pats at home. He’s not, you couldn’t find Garoppolo a tougher opener if you hand picked a team.
  2. Arizona has an elite passing game and an elite secondary. In this pass happy NFL that leads to a ton of covers.

Free Pick By Ricky Tran

Game Details
Sep 11 ’16, 8:30 PM
NFL | Patriots vs Cardinals
Play on: Cardinals -6 -105 at pinnacle
Game Analysis


Team: Arizona Cardinals -6 @ 5 Dimes

Game Time: 8:30 ET Kickoff on September 11

Play Rating: Ricky is recommending a 5 star play (1% of bankroll)

Records (2016) – Patriots 0-0 SU,  – Cardinals 0-0 SU,

Location: U of Phoenix Stadium (outdoors)  Glendale , AZ

Reason For Pick: Both teams can play defense as evident when last season New England held 11 opponents to 20 points or less and did in the preseason held all 4 opponents to 22 points or less. The Cards held 10 opponents to 20 points or less last season and with Brady not playing this seems inevitable in this game.There is no question the Pats without Brady is not the machine it is with him. Carson Palmer was statistically the second best QB behind Brady last season, and the Cardinals ranked #1 overall on offense. GO CARDS!

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